MICHELE GERACI

During my speaking tour in China, I examine the EU’s declining geopolitical influence and the gap between its public declarations and its capacity to shape international outcomes.

European policy is shaped not only in Brussels but also by national governments. Italy’s position in the Council, particularly on sanctions, deserves closer scrutiny than political rhetoric suggests.

My forecast of Lula’s victory challenged prevailing expectations. The result raises questions about electoral forecasting, political narratives and the assumptions underlying conventional analysis.