Stock Market

Chinese Stock Market news and opinion by Prof. Geraci

Pay attention when we're looking for direct investments data because the definitions may change from one database to another, and the numbers we get may be different, one from the others. But firstly, let's see what direct investments are.
Geraci attended China Financial Summit 2017 conference, today in Beijing. In his speech, he said Foreign investors are a little reluctant to invest in the Chinese market especially A-Shares for many reasons. Geraci also believes that Chinese interest rates are not high enough to compensate for risk. Moreover, he thinks it is more difficult for China to export its infrastructure model to foreign countries because foreign governments have no control over infrastructure development.
China's securities regulators are gathering comments about the proposed regulations to govern the fund raising procedures for private funds, traditionally used as a vehicle to transfer money into the shadow banking” system. The new regulations that will be drafted after receiving all comments will cover all types of private funds, including investments in securities and equity, as well as venture capital. Individuals and firms whose leverage ratios exceed 50% are also restricted in the industry. I actually believe there are often-overlooked benefits that are the results of regulations not being too clear.
Morgan Stanley said in a report that the likelihood of a new bull run in China's A-share market has increased as the country is believed to be capable of managing its debt problem and avoiding financial shocks. The bullish sentiment was based on its positive views about China's ability to rebalance its economy. I think actually rebalancing is not happening fast enough in China. When a central bank lowers interest rate, the investment tends to go up. So the goal of rebalancing the economy cannot be achieved with the loose monetary policy.
Shanghai Stock Exchange on 28th Oct published policy on strengthening the credit contro over supply-excessive industry, including real estate, iron and coal industries. This action will restrict debt release of companies in those industries and underwritters have to examine clearly before they help issue debt of companies.

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